fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts

The crew discusses what the future of the Build Back Better bill might look like in the Senate and why the provisions in the bill are more popular than the bill itself. The crew looks at how some of the most competitive primaries in 2022 are shaping up. podcast transcripts and podcast transcription services. Ron DeSantis are the only candidates who currently have sizable support in national polls. In this late-night installment of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast, Nate Silver and Galen Druke put their Model Talk hats on and discuss the initial results from the 2022 midterms. According to a recent Marist poll, inflation is now Americans leading economic concern. In this installment, Jennifer Merolla, a Professor of Political Science at UC Riverside, and Hannah Hartig, a research associate at Pew Research Center reflect on the political climate in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and whether a similar American consensus is possible today. In this installment of Model Talk," Nate and Galen reflect on the many twists and turns of the 2022 campaign so far, including the most salient policy issues and what the final results could tell us about pollsters performance this cycle. The crew debates why politicians break with their parties in high-profile ways and what the repercussions can be. Nathaniel Rakich discusses why it's difficult to draw a broader conclusion about the political environment based on the result. Galen and Nate open the mailbag to answer listeners questions about politics, polling and more. In this installment, the crew discusses how any potential changes could reshape the nominating process. Galen and Nate discuss what to make of it in this installment of Model Talk.". In 2018, the operations were transferred from ESPN to sister property ABC News (also under parent The Walt Disney Company ). is it illegal to wear military uniform in australia. FiveThirtyEight Politics Transcripts | Podgist FiveThirtyEight Politics https://fivethirtyeight.com/podcasts/ Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew discusses potential sticking points in the Democrats' infrastructure plan and debates whether it should be considered bipartisan if a sizable portion of Republican voters support it, but Republican lawmakers do not. The crew discusses which indicators are worth watching to get a sense for how the parties will perform in the 2022 elections. Happy holidays! With two new hosts, Anjali and Prateek, the second season of The Big Story will feature longer and well-rounded discussions with experts across science, culture, technology, politics, and more. The team assesses New York Governor Andrew Cuomo's political future after a report from the New York Attorney General concluded that he sexually harassed 11 women. This sample of 100 outcomes gives you an idea of the range of scenarios the model considers possible. They also check in on the results from two recent primary elections in Ohio and announce the launch of FiveThirtyEights Redistricting Tracker. The crew discusses how debates on both the debt ceiling and the future of Rep. George Santoss career might unfold. The crew asks whether Biden's approval rating could be boosted by the American Rescue Plan and how popular he'd have to be to avoid a backlash at the midterms. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in Georgia, Texas, Alabama, Arkansas and Minnesota. Saturday, February 25, 2023. In Matthew Continetti's new book, The Right: The Hundred Year War For American Conservatism, he argues that in order to understand where the right is heading, you have to understand where it's been. The crew talks about the most notable data points and what it means for Democratic and Republican strategies going forward. In Kim Barker's memory, the city of Laramie . robert kraft granddaughter. During a punchy episode of FiveThirtyEight's now daily politics podcast on Wednesday, Silver pushed back forcefully on anyone out there accusing him or his website of getting the 2020 election. They also talk about what states are doing with their billions in excess cash and look into opinion polling on the U.S.s involvement in Ukraine. In her new book, Limitless: The Federal Reserve Takes On A New Age Of Crisis, New York Times reporter Jeanna Smialek focuses on another unelected institution with a lot of power over American life: the Federal Reserve. Welcome to Internet Archive TV News! They also look at how the Democratic Party's effort to rearrange its presidential primary calendar is going, and ask whether a survey of Republican National Committee members was a good or bad use of polling. File Upload. They also discuss Democratic lawmakers' varying views on how to approach Senate rules and the filibuster. They also discuss the recent trend in Senate candidates refusing to debate each other and why Republicans can't agree on what abortion restrictions to pass. Today those numbers have flipped. The crew debates whether a recent Gallup poll showing that more Americans identify with the GOP than the Democratic Party is a "good or bad use of polling." Cardozo Law Professor Kate Shaw discusses that evidence and its legal ramifications. FiveThirtyEight Politics News Latest Transcripts How To Make Polls Better 240 views about 2 years ago 01:12:44 Galen Druke speaks with two A+ rated pollsters, J. Ann Selzer and Patrick Murray, about how they view the challenges of polling and what can be done about them. The report relies on advanced climate modeling to illustrate where global warming is headed. The crew discusses the various types of legislation different states may adopt if Roe v. Wade is overturned, and how those policies jibe with local public opinion. This is why we are coming every fortnight on your podcast platforms to help you make sense of the new and now. Lastly, they ask whether a recent survey of Americans attitudes about secession is a good or bad use of polling. The FiveThirtyEight 2022 midterms forecast is live, and it shows that Republicans are strong favorites to win the House while the Senate is a toss up between the two parties. The crew breaks down a poll that asked Americans to identify from good to evil and lawful to chaotic on the Dungeons and Dragons alignment chart. It's a big election week for liberal democracies. Its a bold suggestion, and in this installment of the podcast we interrogate it. Politics Podcast: American Opinion Of China Has Plummeted, Politics Podcast: Biden's Second State Of The Union Was His First Campaign Speech, Politics Podcast: How Our 2022 Forecasts Actually Did, Politics Podcast: The Politics Of Loneliness, Politics Podcast: The Elections Happening In 2023. How The Federal Reserve Is The Shadow Branch Of The Government, Why Original Predictions About The War In Ukraine Were So Off. The crew discusses the results of the primary elections in New Jersey and Virginian and looks at the debate playing out between the two parties over how much wealthy Americans and corporations should be paying in taxes. If Europe, and of the shop leave us a rating or review in the Apple podcast store when you rating. Galen Druke discusses the context of these laws with Theodore Johnson, the Director of the Fellows Program at the Brennan Center for Justice. The crew discusses what comes next in Democrats' attempt to pass election reforms, after their proposals hit roadblocks in the Senate. They also review Democrats agenda for the current lame duck session in Congress and hold their first post-midterm 2024 Democratic primary draft. By doing so we are missing another important divide, one that may actually run counter to the idea that America is hopelessly conflicted between red and blue. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. Nate Cohn, the chief political analyst at The New York Times, joins the crew to discuss the results of the latest Times/Siena College midterm polling. It was the biggest shift of any demographic group between the two presidential elections and led to some speculation about a possible realignment. Late Wednesday night in a 5-4 decision, the Supreme Court chose not to block a Texas law banning most abortions after the sixth week of pregnancy -- making it the most restrictive abortion law in the country. They also mark two years since the U.S. shut down in response to the coronavirus pandemic, by using data to explore some of the ways American life has changed in that time. 04:58 PM. The crew discusses the political fallout from the Supreme Courts decision to overturn Roe v. Wade. Tune in on your preferred podcast platform! 91.5 Chapel Hill 88.9 Manteo 90.9 Rocky Mount 91.1 Welcome 91.9 Fayetteville 90.5 Buxton 94.1 Lumberton 99.9 Southern Pines The crew breaks down the results of the June 7 primaries. They also discuss Bidens sweeping vaccine mandate -- how Americans feel about vaccine mandates in general, how effective they are and if Bidens is legal. Our podcast helps listeners understand what they can be certain about, and what is still unknown. In this live taping of Model Talk in Washington, D.C., Nate and Galen break down the current forecasts for the Senate, House and gubernatorial races. The crew discusses what legal debates are currently playing out, what the decision could mean for the future of Roe v. Wade, and where Americans stand on abortion restrictions in general. In her new book How Civil Wars Start And How To Stop Them, Barbara F Walter writes we are now closer to civil war than any of us would like to believe. Instagram did not return a 200. With the data from the most recent term in hand, the crew discusses how far to the right the Supreme Court has gone. Ron DeSantis over Trump for the 2024 GOP presidential primary. Texas has been in a dire situation this week. Upload your Podcast as an audio or video file to Type Studio in our menu. Its October and the surprises are rolling in. Tester faces a tough bid, but don't sleep on Brown being the weaker of the two. Member of the White House Council of Economic Advisers, Heather Boushey, joins the podcast to discuss what is in the American Rescue Plan and why. The crew previews Tuesday's primaries in Georgia as well as contests in Arkansas, Alabama, Texas and Minnesota. The crew discusses the role of the debt ceiling in politics, why it exists in the first place, and the chances of it being abolished altogether. House Minority Leader Rep. Kevin McCarthy (R-CA) and U.S. President Donald Trump attend a signing ceremony for H.R. FiveThirtyEight contributor Laura Bronner shares what the data can tell us about the ideological direction of the court with the addition of Justice Amy Coney Barrett. President Bidens $2 trillion social spending and climate change agenda is in its most tenuous position yet after West Virginia Sen. Joe Manchin announced that he will not support the Build Back Better Plan. We speak with the director of the Monmouth University Polling Institute, Patrick Murray, who wrote an article titled I blew it. And they try to guess what Americans think about love and relationships in a Valentine's Day-themed game. They also consider how Rep. George Santoss scandals will affect his tenure in Congress and whether he would have been elected at all if his fabricated biography had received more scrutiny during the campaign. The crew talks about why President Biden's approval is underwater, what the consequences are for Democrats and what they can do about it. Micah Cohen and Kaleigh Rogers also join to talk about why Republicans are not backing a bipartisan commission to investigate the January 6th attack on the U.S. Capitol. The crew discusses what these results mean for the midterms this fall and where other indicators of the political environment are pointing. The crew talks about what led to Cuomo's resignation, how New Yorkers feel about his replacement, and what this means for New Yorks 2022 Democratic primary race for governor. The Sporkful production team includes Dan Pashman, Emma Morgenstern, Andres O'Hara, Tracey Samuelson, and Jared O'Connell. Maybe its time to get rid of election polls. Although much of our elections-related attention is already trained on 2024, there are consequential elections happening this very calendar year. His new book is called "The Engagement: Americas Quarter-Century Struggle Over Same-Sex Marriage.". The crew looks at why it took 15 votes to get Rep. Kevin McCarthy elected House Speaker and what that process says about the two years ahead and the GOP more broadly. The FBI released nationwide crime numbers from 2020 this week that will likely contribute to the already tense political debate over crime and policing. It's tempting to use the special election to gauge the national political environment, but the crew explains why one election alone isn't a reliable indicator. What happens when a former president is facing all kinds of legal liability on the federal and local level, but is also still the de facto party leader and considering another run for the White House? Schwartz and McMenamin: 11/29/21. ( Businessweek) Nate and Galen answer listener questions in this installment of Model Talk. They also talk about how the California recall election is shaping up after a recent poll showed increased support for recalling current Governor Gavin Newsom. From 2008 to 2019, the percentage of people who said they got their news from local papers fell by more than half. He has also reported audio documentaries at FiveThirtyEight, including the monthslong series "The Gerrymandering Project." His work has been heard on NPR, WNYC, On The Media, CBC, Wisconsin Public Radio and the University of Cambridge's ELECTION podcast. Editor Chadwick Matlin turns the tables on Galen Druke and asks him questions about what hes learned from covering the 2022 election and his time as host of the podcast. Overall, more moderate candidates were able to win against challengers from the Right and Left flank of both parties, although there was a sizable protest vote in some instances. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. President Biden delivered his second State of the Union address on Tuesday to a newly divided Congress. Galen Druke speaks with George Washington University economist Tara Sinclair about the economics behind Americans pessimistic assessment of the economy. The crew discusses what Cuomo's political future might hold and how New Yorkers are reacting to sexual harassment allegations. Serial's new true-crime podcast, The Coldest Case in Laramie, revisits a 1985 murder. In this installment, the crew plays a game of midterm trivia and analyzes the press coverage surrounding the latest decline in life expectancy. The podcast turns its focus abroad, to Canada and Germany, to see how other democracies' electoral systems work and what cleavages their politics are facing. Please subscribe to the Dow-ballot on Apple Podcasts and leave . Galen and Nate discuss the state of uncalled races, what let to a good night for Democrats and answer listener questions. The crew discusses how President Bidens executive action that forgives up to $20,000 of student loan debt will impact politics and the economy. Also, CalMatters Politics reporter Laurel Rosenhall and political analyst Paul Mitchell join to discuss the status of the California gubernatorial recall election. The crew discusses how much the two parties are spending on campaign ads and if it could factor into the forecasts shift. You have to take and pass a grammar test, then submit a transcription template before you can get assignments from Rev. During the span of 25 years, same-sex marriage went from being an unimaginable idea to settled law. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. In this late night edition of the podcast, the crew discusses the results of the California gubernatorial recall election. The crew discusses what we've learned from President Biden's first 100 days in office and from his first address to a joint session of Congress. The crew debates whether a poll asking Americans which animals they could take on is a fight is a "good or bad use of polling." FiveThirtyEight Politics Biden Is Set To Be The Next President 2020-11-07 The crew reacts to the news that Joe Biden and Kamala Harris are the projected winners of the 2020 election. Raffensperger's new book is called Integrity Counts.". Science reporter Maggie Koerth also joins to talk about shifting attitudes on climate change among Republicans. And they look at the experiences of urban Republicans and rural Democrats in a country increasingly sorted geographically and politically. Samuel Charap is a senior political scientist at the RAND Corporation and author of the book Everyone Loses: The Ukraine Crisis and the Ruinous Contest for Post-Soviet Eurasia. Galen Druke is the host and producer of the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast. I'm Galen Truk. Nate Silver and Galen Druke discuss why live caller surveys are no longer the gold standard in polling and what it means for the future of the industry. On todays Politics Podcast, the crew discusses God, COVID-19, and the midterms. Galen Druke speaks with political science professors Sunshine Hillygus and Patrick Eagan about the history of wedge issues and how they shape U.S. politics. Ron DeSantis and former President Donald Trump. Tickets to the FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast live show in Washington, DC on October 25th can be found here. American government is designed to have components that are not directly accountable to the public. The team looks at the popularity of the Democrats' COVID relief plan and how both Democrats and Republicans are thinking about its provisions. 11:03 AM. COVID-19 has pushed Americans into more uncertain territory than most have ever known. The crew looks at public opinion on the war in Afghanistan and the Biden administration's decision to withdraw U.S. troops as the country now faces a Taliban takeover. Feb. 25, 2021. info. david senak now. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. The crew discusses how the scandals surrounding Walker have evolved over the course of his Senate campaign and how the latest could affect the outcome of the race. The crew puts Georgia's new voting laws in context and discusses the challenges facing the Biden administration on immigration policy in the short and long term. Democrats overperformed in two special elections on Tuesday, including a win in New York's 19th district, which is four points more Republican than the national partisan lean, according to FiveThirtyEights metric. 9 days ago. They also consider whether a poll that asks Americans if they think the U.S. is currently in a recession is a "good or bad use of polling.". This is the final FiveThirtyEight Politics podcast episode of the Trump presidency. How did the polling averages and seat-gain projections compare with the actual results? They also previewed and caught up on some elections, including Alaskas special election to replace longtime Alaska congressman Don Young that took place this past weekend. You can get between 30 cents to $1.10 for every audio minute, which sums up to $18 - $66 per audio hour. As the broader electorate shifted left in 2020, compared to 2016, Latino voters shifted 8 percentage points to the right. Ohio Rep. Anthony Gonzalez announced he is retiring from Congress at the end of his term. They also take a look at whether the Republican Party is conducting a post-mortem after its recent electoral losses. He is now facing a primary from Congressman Jody Hice, whom Trump has endorsed, in his 2022 re-election bid. The crew discusses how Liz Cheney and Madison Cawthorn's primaries serve as a test of what the Republican Party and its voters will and wont accept. What to do about George Santos | FiveThirtyEight Politics Podcast In Part 2 of this podcast, the crew asks why House Speaker Kevin McCarthy has declined to call Rep. George Santos to resign and considers a poll showing that 60% of his district's voters want him to. The crew discusses how hurricanes shape political perceptions, whether 52 Democrats senators would be all that different from 50 and how the Electoral Count Reform Act could prevent future attempts to meddle with American elections. 450 episodes. Rev. As we head into the new year and our attention begins to turn to the presidential primaries, we decided to reair our audio documentary series, The Primaries Project. They determine whether we live in a free or repres Two days after Election Day, control of the U.S. House and Senate still hangs in the balance as votes are tallied in the Western states. June 2, 2016. The crew discusses the Virginia and new Jersey gubernatorial races a week before election day, and guesses how Americans feel about the potential provisions in the Democrats spending bill. What do we know, how confidently do we know it and what do we know we dont know? They also consider Arizona Sen. Kyrsten Sinema's motivations for registering as an independent and look at the latest polling on a potential presidential primary matchup between Florida Gov. The crew reacts to Senator Raphael Warnock's win in the Georgia Senate runoff. Tyler's intense research leads to stimulating and surprising . Listen at itun.es/i67M5bV. The U.S. shot down at least three unidentified flying objects over the weekend. They also cover the redistricting process happening around the country after a number of big recent developments. The crew talks about the appeal of celebrity candidates and what it tells us about our politics. It originally aired at the beginning of 2020 and across three episodes we looked at how our presidential primary system came to be, its consequences and how it could be different. The crew debates which states should vote first in the presidential primaries if the Iowa caucuses were to go away. He is one of the ten House Republicans who voted to impeach President Trump after his supporters attacked the Capitol on Jan. 6. With the benefit of hindsight and some time to breathe, Galen Druke reflects on key moments of the 2020 race with the authors of the new book, Lucky: How Joe Biden Barely Won The Presidency. Happy holidays! They also look back at 2021, try to pinpoint the most consequential political events of the year and discuss how their understanding of American politics was challenged. James Acton is a physicist and co-director of the Nuclear Policy Program at the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace. They also assess how polls performed in 2019 and 2020 in general, with the benefit of hindsight and updated pollster ratings. In the wake of the January 6th attack on the Capitol, academics and journalists have increasingly taken the possibility of future political violence in America seriously. Good Sport TED Audio Collective Sports Requires subscription and macOS 11.4 or higher 28 FEB 2023 PODCAST-19 brings you the latest evidence on the COVID-19 pandemic. They also ask whether a recent Gallup poll reporting that a record number of Americans are thriving is a good or bad use of polling. On the Conversations with Tyler podcast, produced by the Mercatus Center at George Mason University, celebrated polymath and academic economist Tyler Cowen explores the minds and methods of today's top thinkers. Our tool analyzes your audio using Google voice recognition. The crew asks why Queen Elizabeth II's passing has received such intense global press coverage. The U.S. House Districts To Watch In 2022: 10/17/22 The team debates if Americans. FiveThirtyEight Podcasts - FiveThirtyEight Podcasts Politics Nate Silver and the FiveThirtyEight team cover the latest in politics, tracking the issues and "game-changers" every week. The crew discusses why Bidens favorability is falling and how much Democrats should worry about it. Cuomo denied the allegations, but has faced overwhelming pressure to resign from fellow Democrats, including President Joe Biden. They also consider whether the ensuing confirmation process will impact the countrys broader political environment in a Midterm election year. They also consider whether a new poll showing that America's reputation has rebounded abroad is a good or bad use of polling. fivethirtyeight podcast transcriptsapplications of stepper motor ppt. The episode tracks the 14 days from the murder of the president to when the Johnsons move into the White House, days filled with tragic ceremony and heartfelt moments of solidarity between Jackie Kennedy and Lady Bird. It was his first big national speech since the midterms and a preview of his likely 2024 reelection bid. The crew discusses how the Supreme Court may change once Breyer a more moderate Justice among the Liberals retires. They also discuss the politics of reparations after a Democratic proposal in the House to study reparations for slavery was voted out of committee for the first time since it was introduced in Congress in 1989. All. Posted by October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts October 30, 2021 bangladesh police ranks on fivethirtyeight podcast transcripts The crew checks in on the California recall election and other upcoming races, and talks about how a Trump endorsement is shaping a Wyoming primary. Since then, the FiveThirtyEight blog has covered a broad spectrum of subjects including politics, sports, science, economics, and popular culture. They also discuss recent polling showing that President Biden has disproportionately lost support among traditionally Democratic voting groups. The crew also discusses how Americans are responding to the administrations handling of the end of the war. The crew discusses why the country responded to the attacks the way it did and how healthy American democracy is today.

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